Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.024601 0.027082 0.029547 0.032173 0.034888 0.037606 0.040529
2025-01-26 0.020352 0.024361 0.028466 0.032955 0.037701 0.042547 0.047850
2025-02-02 0.016976 0.021946 0.027170 0.033003 0.039278 0.045777 0.052975
2025-02-09 0.013796 0.019353 0.025354 0.032189 0.039654 0.047481 0.056236
2025-02-16 0.011895 0.017961 0.024666 0.032425 0.041002 0.050075 0.060298
2025-02-23 0.010107 0.016526 0.023793 0.032335 0.041884 0.052069 0.063617
2025-03-02 0.008456 0.015102 0.022823 0.032040 0.042456 0.053649 0.066414
2025-03-09 0.007109 0.013928 0.022055 0.031901 0.043136 0.055291 0.069221
2025-03-16 0.005632 0.012451 0.020840 0.031177 0.043098 0.056091 0.071060
2025-03-23 0.004729 0.011638 0.020368 0.031270 0.043944 0.057832 0.073894
2025-03-30 0.003709 0.010553 0.019499 0.030847 0.044164 0.058842 0.075891
2025-04-06 0.002725 0.009386 0.018459 0.030171 0.044054 0.059452 0.077415
2025-04-13 0.001523 0.007721 0.016796 0.028835 0.043315 0.059519 0.078539
2025-04-20 0.001117 0.007340 0.016840 0.029619 0.045098 0.062492 0.082967
2025-04-27 0.000615 0.006586 0.016321 0.029671 0.045997 0.064445 0.086241
2025-05-04 0.000140 0.005463 0.015185 0.028891 0.045868 0.065192 0.088131
2025-05-11 0.000004 0.004938 0.014865 0.029118 0.046915 0.067262 0.091486
2025-05-18 NaN 0.004309 0.014329 0.029032 0.047560 0.068849 0.094274
2025-05-25 NaN 0.003647 0.013671 0.028749 0.047941 0.070108 0.096671
2025-06-01 NaN 0.003107 0.013149 0.028616 0.048481 0.071534 0.099238
2025-06-08 NaN 0.002401 0.012242 0.027922 0.048306 0.072105 0.100812
2025-06-15 NaN 0.002049 0.011924 0.028011 0.049081 0.073772 0.103622
2025-06-22 NaN 0.001568 0.011272 0.027607 0.049222 0.074680 0.105549